Lame-duck Bush goes daffy

Yup, lame duck.When US president George W Bush praises Democratic speaker Nancy Pelosi for her leadership, as he did over the “stimulus package” he proposed, you know something bad just happened. When Pelosi beams broadly, and places emphasis on how the measures are “temporary”, you just know she means, “when the election is over, you’ll be paying for it, you gullible fools”. If there’s anything more distasteful than a misguided but principled partisan proposal, it’s a waffly but expensive bi-partisan cop-out.

I couldn’t do a better job of demolishing the latest fiscal abortion than Kimberley Strassel, in Bush’s Economic Surrender. This editorial doesn’t do a bad job either. Bush has failed his citizens. Bush has failed his economic principles. Bush has failed the GOP candidates. Bush has failed the cause of sane tax policy. No stimulus at all would have been a better option than this ill-disguised redistributionist handout. Arthur Laffer, he of the famous Laffer Curve, follows on with an admirable explanation of how tax works in the real world, unpolluted by deal-making politicians.

So, I take back what I said about Bush. He may still have been the sheriff in DC in 2007, but it’s 2008 now, and he’s shaping up to be a lame duck, alright.

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A hurricane in a teacup

Hurricane dollarsThe greedy capitalists are once again going to be on the short end of the stick. The reason? Global warming, of course. Why? Because of hurricanes, as Americans call low-pressure system storms also known, depending on where they occur, as cyclones or typhoons.

As everyone knows, global warming is going to make hurricanes worse, so they’re going to increase the payouts insurance companies have to carry. It will, “generate more storms and more intense hurricanes,” says hurricane historian Jay Barnes of Pine Knoll Shores, North Carolina in paragraph two. Paragraph three continues: “Numerous studies in recent years have found no evidence that the number of hurricanes and their northwest Pacific Ocean cousins, typhoons, is increasing because of the rise in global temperatures.”

Nevermind paragraph three. Let’s try this again.

As everyone knows, global warming is going to cause fewer killer hurricanes, so they’re going to decrease insurance premiums insurance companies will be able to charge.  “Using data extending back to the middle nineteenth century,” the story quotes physical oceanographer and climate scientist Chunzai Wang of the NOAA, “we found a gentle decrease in the trend of U.S. land-falling hurricanes when the global ocean is warmed up.”

An explanation I’ve heard before for predicting fewer and lighter storms is that global warming will decrease the temperature gradient between the poles and the equator, which is the engine driving the atmospheric circulation that causes disturbances such as low pressure systems that could turn into cyclonic storms.

Wang’s explanation is different. He attributes the historical data to increased vertical wind-shear caused by an increased temperature gradient between low-altitude and high-altitude air. Which also makes sense, if the presupposition that global warming is a long-term trend is true (which, of course, it probably is not).

So one way or another, there will be either higher payouts or lower premiums. Or lower payouts and higher premiums. Nobody knows. Either way,  insurance companies are screwed. Or not. But then, I guess that’s why they call their business “risk management”. Who’d be stupid enough to try to manage risk? Them capitalists have it coming.

Whatever the facts, we must act now, before it’s too late. Must act. Must act now!

Can we really risk the future of mankind when even the scientists have no clue what’s going to happen? No! We must make commitments! We must make sacrifices! We must atone for our sins! We must make election promises! We must soak the rich, to buy the votes of the poor! No, wait, that’s old. We must do more! We must soak the sensible, to buy the votes of people who risk living in hurricane-prone states! In fact, let’s soak everyone, to buy the votes of the soaked! With enough taxes and subsidies and government funds and wealth redistribution, everyone’s a winner!

That’s exactly what half the US presidential candidates campaigning in states such as Florida are proposing to do. They promise to transfer the risk to the US taxpayer. And, would you believe it, that’s the Republican half. Imagine what the Democrats could get up to. The only way they could improve on this populist glad-handing and socialist redistribution is to outlaw hurricanes that make landfall without the proper government authorisation.

That’s how it always ends with eco-politics. No matter what the data says, you can be sure someone, somewhere, is setting up to fleece you.

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Lost nose: life imitates hoax ad

This isn’t funny. From a local paper:

Prosthetic nose lost at The Zone

An appeal has gone out to the public to look out for a prosthetic nose belonging to a 13-year-old burn victim, after it was lost at a mall in
Rosebank in December, according to the Children of Fire charity [link], The Citizen newspaper recently reported. According to the organization, Dorah Mokoena [link] is the most badly burned girl in the world to survive her ordeal. She lost the nose — especially made to match her colouring and face shape — which is valued at R3 000, while on an outing at the Zone in Rosebank. A volunteer who took Dorah and six other burn victims to the cinema noticed that her nose was missing. A search of the area proved fruitless.

I said, this isn’t funny!

A hat-tip goes to regular reader Rory, not to be confused with Rory Emerald, who once placed a classified advert claiming he’d found a prosthetic nose near Michael Jackson’s Neverland ranch in the Iowa City Press-Citizen, which in turn is not to be confused with The Citizen, a South African newspaper.

So, if you’re nosing about Rosebank any time soon, keep an eye out, would you?

Children of FireNo, seriously, click the links I inserted into the quote above for the full story. Dorah’s story is both tragic and amazing, and what Children of Fire does deserves your support. As do their major sponsors, Pick n Pay, Moyo restaurant, Emirates, Jakaranda 94.2 (which needs to update its sponsor link on the site), Kenya Airways (ditto), Air Tanzania, Virgin Active, and the University of Johannesburg.

Respect.

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